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The Strasburg Dilemma

Friday, August 27th, 2010

When Stephen Strasburg debuted with the Washington Nationals earlier this season, there was definitely a special sense of electricity inside the packed Nationals Park stadium.

Just seven starts later, the cord has been yanked from the electrical outlet.

Despite being handled with the utmost precaution, the Nationals’ young ace appears to be headed to the surgical table for Tommy John surgery.

While this doesn’t necessarily mean a promising career is shot, it certainly is a major concern for the Nationals’ brass. And it is possible that another highly touted pitching phenom has fizzled out after a short stint in the majors.

The comparisons to another high-priced, hard throwing right-hander by the name of Mark Prior are fair. Same agent (Scott Boras) and each player was the recipient of the largest contract at the time. For Prior, it was $10.5 million in 2001 as the second overall pick (gotta think the Twins are more than happy they took Joe Mauer at number one) while Strasburg received $15.1 million as the number one pick in 2009.

Strasburg was a consensus choice as the top pick, yet still a selection the Nationals had to give a lot of thought to. There was no doubt Boras would demand a record setting contract. So Washington either had to pony up or risk losing the number one pick altogether.

Right now they might be thinking that drafting a less heralded player would have been the wiser choice, such as Dustin Ackley, who went number two to Seattle.

Hopefully Strasburg will recover and have a successful major league career. But regardless, his injury should sound the final alarm to all teams that investing huge sums of money on a pitching phenom prospect is a risky venture. And if that player is represented by Scott Boras, it might be worth passing up the next opportunity at such a player.

Now what do fantasy owners do during the offseason? I suspect all trade offers for Strasburg will be heard!

Sad way to finish a career for Braves’ Chipper Jones?

Thursday, August 12th, 2010

In all likelihood, Chipper Jones has played his final game in the majors. He had already been contemplating retirement at age 38. Thursday, it was determined that he had torn his ACL and will be out for the rest of the season.

Typical recovery time after surgery? Six months. Not a good prognosis for the 17-year veteran.

In an era of free agency, Jones was a rarity who stayed with the Atlanta Braves for his entire career. As a switch-hitter with power, he was also unique in that he hit for average – .306 over his career to go with 436 home runs. Scoresheet owners no doubt loved having a guy with such consistency and the ability to hit from both sides of the plate in their lineups.

If indeed this is the end of his career, his chances for a spot in Cooperstown can now be debated.

Thumbs up or down?

I’ll go with a thumbs up.

All-Star Break is Time To Retool for Stretch Run

Tuesday, July 13th, 2010

While the major leaguers are enjoying their time off, Scoresheet Fantasy Owners have an opportunity to review the season to date and make adjustments moving forward.

Many young players will be getting opportunities at the major league level on teams that want to gauge the future. That’s short for they aren’t in the race for a playoff spot. That means a change to plug in some players into your lineups that may offer a boost to your own team’s playoff run. Then again, they could also be duds that don’t help at all. That’s the beauty of these youngsters. No matter how they have performed in the minors, you just never know what they will do in the bigs until they get a shot. Just ask Justin Smoak, recently traded from Texas to Seattle as part of the Cliff Lee trade. His hope is a fresh start will help him live up to his initial hype.

Stephen Strasburg presents a whole different quandary. He has provided excellent returns for any of the fantasy baseball owners who were fortunate enough to pick up this highly touted pitching phenom. However, the Washington Nationals have already announced that once he reaches a combined 160 innings (minors and majors combined), they will be shutting down their prized draftee. That means just about the time you could really use an ace for the pennant chase, you’ll have to make other plans.

Whatever your situation, now is a good time to examine your team for some young guns that may be getting their chance in the “Big Show” in the coming weeks.

Good luck!

Strasburg Era Starts with a Bang

Friday, June 18th, 2010

Not since Mark “The Bird” Fidrych came onto the scene in 1976 has a pitcher generated as much fan interest as the Washington Nationals’ phenom, Stephen Strasburg. But Fidrych was an unknown who created a buzz that eventually led to sellouts at home – nearly doubling a typical Tigers’ home game crowd – and on the road. Strasburg has achieved unparalleled popularity out of the gate.

His anticipated home game starts sell out in hours. In his first effort, he delivered a 14 strikeout, no walk performance against the Pittsburgh Pirates (ok, not exactly a powerhouse lineup). Still, that’s a feat Hall of Famer Nolan Ryan did just once in 27 major league seasons. A guy with the control of Strasburg – AND a fastball that reaches 100mph – that is a true rarity.

His second outing, at Cleveland, was less spectacular but he still delivered a dominant performance against the Indians. And the crowd of just under 33,000 was nearly double what the Indians have been drawing.

Round 3? Another home sellout and impressive showing by the kid – 10 strikeouts and no walks, one run in seven innings. The strikeouts set a record for a pitcher at the outset of a career with 32 whiffs in his first three starts.

Scoresheet owners that managed to snag the 2009 number one overall pick in the MLB draft are surely looking forward to years of dominance from the kid, as are the Nats. And Washington still has 2010 number one pick Bryce Harper to look forward to. Any Scoresheet owners that managed to snag that combo should also be set up nicely for the future.

This should be fun to watch gang…

Good article on SI.com covering recent callups

Tuesday, June 1st, 2010

All you Giants fans surely rejoiced to see Buster Posey finally got the callup – particularly since he came out gangbusters with the opportunity. From the looks of it, he’s seen the last of his days in Fresno.

But what about other talented newcomers to the MLB scene? There are plenty who could provide a mid-season jolt to your fantasy team. And plenty of others to pass on.

Bill Root has a good article on the topic on SI.com, and even throws a Scoresheet mention in there.

The complete article can be found at the following link:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/fantasy/05/31/nkotd/index.html

Oswalt, Others Could be on Move

Thursday, May 27th, 2010

As May wraps up, major league teams are evaluating their season thus far and making decisions on whether to build for the future or try to win now. Those decisions can have a big impact on your fantasy team should one of your key players get shipped to a new team. Here’s a look at a few of the trade possibilities being talked about:

Roy Oswalt, Houston Astros
Perhaps no other ace pitcher is suffering as much this season from a lack of offense. Well, San Francisco’s Matt Cain certainly has a similar complaint, but the Giants appear to be contenders for a division title. The Astros? They are contending for next year’s number one overall draft pick. That has made Oswalt’s efforts more of a waste. The star pitcher’s numbers are stellar across the board – the best they’ve been in years – except for a paltry 3-6 record. Rumors are that the Dodgers have inquired about Oswalt (and Cliff Lee, see below). If that deal were to happen, Oswalt’s numbers from pitching the majority of games in Dodger Stadium could be even better than they already are.

Cliff Lee, Seattle Mariners
The Mariners made several big moves in the off season and by most accounts were projected to battle for the AL West title. Thus far, they haven’t delivered. A meager offense and poor defense have buried the M’s in last place. Which makes holding onto Cliff Lee unlikely. Lee got a late start due to an injury coming out of spring training, but has generally pitched well. Only a recent bad outing blew his ERA past 3.00, but otherwise he looks like the same solid starter he’s been for years. Again, the Dodgers have made inquiries.

Carlos Lee, Houston Astros
The Astros are likely to be moving several players, and Lee is a guy they’d love to send packing as they gear toward rebuilding. Lee is currently batting below .200 – not exactly worthy of the $100 million six-year deal he signed in 2006. The Giants would certainly love to add a big bat if they could do so without trading any key pieces, but would  almost certainly expect the Astros to pay a significant portion of Lee’s salary.

Mark Buerhle, White Sox
If things don’t turn around soon for the White Sox, the manager and a few highly paid players could be gone. Buerhle is making $14 million and currently is 3-5 with an ERA pushing 4.50. Paul Konerko is also making a lot of money, but he’s met expectations with solid power numbers. So the likelihood is that Buerhle will draw interest from teams like the Yankees, who have gotten nothing from offseason acquisition Javier Vazquez, and perhaps the Dodgers and Red Sox, to name a few.

These are just a few of the names expected to  get a lot of interest before the trading deadline. You can add nearly anyone on the slumping Cleveland Indians as well.

A change of scenery could be just the tonic for some big name players who are struggling with their major league teams – and potentially a perfect fix for your Scoresheet fantasy team!

Zito and Hernandez Spark NL Arms Resurgence

Tuesday, May 4th, 2010

Over the past three seasons, Washington’s Livan Hernandez was consistently hit hard if he was able to even pitch at all. The stats certainly prove it – an ERA  of 5.36 in 2008 was his best during a three year tailspin, 278 hits allowed in 224 innings, and a batting average against of over .300. Clearly, Hernandez was a shell of his former self.

After Barry Zito signed a monster – and largely panned – contract with the Giants, he promptly delivered little to nothing in return. In three seasons his ERA was no better than 4.03 and he consistently was unable to get beyond the sixth inning in his starts. $126 million should get something closer to a dominant pitcher, dontcha think?

Those days, clearly, were in the past for both Zito and Hernandez.

Or maybe not?

Suddenly both are delivering big dividends for any fantasy owner who was willing to stick with them, or managed to pick them up for this season. And they are leading a resurgence of dominant pitchers in the NL.

With workhorse Roy Halladay going to Philadelphia for the 2010 season, Zito’s back-to-back Cy Young teammate Tim Lincecum continuing to baffle hitters, and Colorado’s Ubaldo Jimenez throwing bb’s, the NL now boasts the bulk of the elite pitchers in baseball. As of this writing, six NL starters have ERA’s under 1.60, including Hernandez and Jimenez both sporting sub-1.00 marks. Yes, the lack of a DH does make for lower ERA’s in general in the NL and there are fewer power-laden offensive teams to face, but we’re talking dominant numbers across the board for these guys.

Here’s hoping you NL or combo league Scoresheet owners managed to snag one or two of them!

Let us know who has been your biggest surprise (or disappointment) player so far in the 2010 campaign. Comments are welcome below.

Too Early to Bench? Maybe Not

Friday, April 23rd, 2010

The end of April brings decision time for many fantasy owners. One that is often difficult is benching a player figured to be a cornerstone in your lineup. But alas, as players near 75 ABs and pitchers have racked up their fair share of innings, some patterns are starting to show. Time to make some changes?

Case in point, the beloved Red Sox DH David Ortiz. For the second straight season, Big Papi is off to a subpar start. As of this writing he’s hitting just .146 with no home runs and a rather pathetic slugging percentage of .246. You can look at last season and say he finished pretty strong, batting .238 with 28 home runs, but if you had him in the lineup for the first few months he likely cost you more than a few games. With the Red Sox lacking power bats around him in 2010, pitchers are really going after Ortiz – and succeeding. Will he get things going at some point? Possibly. But that could be a long wait. A benching certainly could be in order.

Or how about the Yankees Mark Teixeira? Last season he too got out of the gate slowly, with many figuring Alex Rodriguez’ absence due to injury was a big reason why. Well, he doesn’t have that excuse this year. Rodriguez has been in the lineup all season but Teixeira is off to another miserable April start – .125 batting average, 2 home runs and a .268 slugging percentage. However, Teixeira is nowhere near the end of his career like Ortiz. He’s just a slow starter. Expect a surge in the coming months and numbers much more in line with his impressive career stats by season’s end.

Pitchers like Atlanta’s Jair Jurrjens also give cause for concern. Jurrjens posted solid numbers across the board in 2009, finishing third in the NL with a 2.60 ERA, but has struggled in three starts and currently has an ERA over 6. Numbers like that are not likely to help your starting pitching situation. So do you sit him for a few starts until he turns things around?

Decisions, decisions.

Ahh yes, the beauty of playing fantasy baseball!

Fantasy Baseball Player Tracker Tools

Saturday, April 17th, 2010

For those of you who want to track your Scoresheet team’s major league stats in more detail, here are a few available options to achieve your goal and surely take your managerial skills to a whole new level…ahem.

The first two are paid options, but well worth the small investment:

Baseball Prospectus – The folks at Baseball Prospectus offer a Team Tracker with any of their subscription options. This allows you to plug in your players (or other players you just want to keep an eye on) for multiple fantasy teams and get their major league stats for whatever time period you wish. That can be the past week, season to date, or any date range you select, so you can really delve in to see who’s hot and who’s not. Subscription options range from $4.95 per month or you can buy for the baseball season (through the end of October) for just $19.95. And besides the valuable tracking tool, you’ll have access to tons of features and articles by the BP staff. To learn more about subscription options, just visit this link.

Rotowire – This site covers the fantasy sports world with a variety of features, articles, draft tools, and more. And if you are a Rotowire subscriber, you’ll have access to their MLB WatchList tool to not only track stats from your fantasy teams but also get the latest news on your players without having to search around the web to find your updates. The WatchList stats, much like the Baseball Prospectus offering, give you the ability to select date ranges for the MLB statistics on your teams. In addition they offer projections, email updates, and plenty of expert opinion. The baseball season special (runs through October 5) is $35.99 or you can try things out with a one-month subscription for $9.99. More info on subscription offerings can be found at this link.

Finally, we have a free option to take a look at. This one doesn’t offer the wealth of options or expert analysis, but for those of you who just don’t want to go through boxscores to find your player stats, the Kilg.us website offers a solution. In addition to being able to look at your team’s current day and season to date stats from their website, they also have an option to email you your team’s daily stats each morning. The project itself is a “work in progress” from the open source community but worth checking out if you want a free tool to keep tabs on your team on a daily basis. For more information, click here to visit their site.

If you have any favorite tracking tools, please let us know in the comments and we’ll check them out!

Bounceback Players Offer Risks, Rewards

Tuesday, March 16th, 2010

If you’re looking for proven talent to add to your fantasy baseball team, particularly in the later  rounds of a draft, it can a difficult feat to pull off. More than likely you’ll be weighing the pros and cons of picking up an established major leaguer looking to bounce back from an injury. Let’s take a look at some of the biggest names looking to return to form coming into the 2010 season:

National League:

Brandon Webb (P), Arizona – The former Cy Young winner underwent right shoulder surgery last August, ending his 2009 season after just four innings on the mound, and looks to return to his 22-7 form from 2008. As of March 13, however, it’s looking like Webb will be on the disabled list to start the season so there isn’t going to be much of any indicator of his health to be found in spring training.

David Wright (3B), NY Mets – Nagging injuries kept Wright’s power numbers well below his norm in 2009 as he finished with just 10 home runs in 535 at bats. But so far this spring it appears his pop is back and Wright will likely return to his status as a premier third baseman. He is a consistent .300 hitter and should easily return to 25+ home run territory. Definitely worth the risk if he’s available in your draft.

Jose Reyes (SS), NY Mets - Wright’s teammate’s status is much more uncertain. Reyes played in just 36 games in 2009 and early in the spring it was discovered he had a hyperactive thyroid gland, resulting in his being prohibited from any type of physical exertion. The plan is to rest for anywhere from two to eight weeks, meaning in all likelihood Reyes will be on the DL when the season starts. From there, it’s anyone’s guess when / if  he returns to form.

Carlos Zambrano (P), Cubs – The 2009 season was a big disappointment for Cubs fans and Zambrano certainly played a role in the team’s failure to live up to expectations. His nine wins were his lowest since 2002 but most of his numbers across the board were otherwise in line with previous campaigns. Zambrano arrived in camp this year in outstanding shape and appears to be dedicated to again becoming the staff ace in Chicago. If he can avoid the temper tantrums that have been an issue in previous years, Zambrano could have the Cubs back in the playoff hunt and should post impressive numbers along the way.

Corey Hart (RF), Milwaukee – Hart had put up solid numbers in 2007 and 2008 before suffering a significant drop off in 2009. A bout with appendicitis ended his season two months early, finishing with just 12 home runs and 48 RBI in 115 games. But he arrived at camp some 20 pounds lighter this year as he looks to regain his speed and power figures. Given the strong lineup around him, chances are good his numbers will again be solid if the health problems are behind him.

American League

Ben Sheets (P) and Justin Duchscherer (P), Oakland – Both these pitchers are in the same boat as  they look to return to form after missing the entire 2009 season. In 2008, Duchscherer was the ace of the young A’s staff and an All Star, finishing with a 2.54 ERA that would have been tied for the league lead had he pitched enough innings. In 2009 elbow problems and a bout with depression kept him on the sidelines and his activity has been carefully guarded in the spring so far. Sheets, who has battled a variety of injuries over the years in Milwaukee, impressed the Oakland brass enough to warrant a $10 million one-year deal but has struggled in training camp, including giving up 10 runs and failing to record an out in a March 15th outing that ballooned his ERA to 31.15. Both these guys would appear to be high risks for any fantasy leaguer, but may be worth a shot if your team’s pitching is a question mark otherwise.

Jake Peavy (P), Chicago White Sox – Peavy was finally moved to the AL late in 2009 and after recovering from an ankle injury made three impressive starts for the White Sox that have piqued interest heading into 2010. While there are concerns that a move to the AL and a less pitcher-friendly park could have a negative effect, if Peavy is healthy he should be among the elite starters in the AL. So far he has shown no signs of problems in the spring.

Daisuke Matsuzaka (P), Boston – Dice K was a shell of his 2008 self during the 2009 season, with an ERA that nearly doubled to 5.76 and just 59 innings pitched as a groin injury (which he failed to report) caused all kinds of issues with his mechanics. As of March 16 he is still in wait and see mode for his first spring appearance but did report to camp in better shape and from all reports is committed to returning to the form that led him to an 18-3 record and 2.90 ERA in 2008.

Josh Hamilton (OF), Texas - Two stints on the DL in 2009 limited Hamilton to 336 at bats and numbers far below those of 2008 when he broke out with a .304 average, 32 HRs and 130 RBI. He’ll now be moved to LF in hopes of limiting the demands on his body defensively and still plays in a very hitter-friendly park with the Rangers. So far he’s had some bumps and bruises in camp that have limited his plate appearances but Hamilton is definitely worth consideration in any AL draft.

There you have it, a quick review of some of the potential bounceback players for 2010. While there is no such thing as a “sure thing”, these established players might be just what you need to put your team over the top. That is, IF they perform to their pre-injury levels.

Good luck!